Radyvylivmoloko brief market review.
Trends in the dairy market in Ukraine.
Milk processors are increasingly getting used to the crisis. Export-oriented dairy producers can produce competitive goods only from cheap raw milk from the private sector. In Ukraine, imports’ volume of dairy products has increased, most of them are cheaper than Ukrainian ones.
Raw milk - trends
Despite a decrease in the supply of raw materials, consumer demand has dropped noticeably, and export is not even worth mentioning - world prices are completely unattractive for Ukrainian producers. We also do not forget about the powerful import supply, which a year ago was not yet observed. These factors currently allow purchasing prices to remain at a stable level, and operators - not to think about revisions in the coming weeks.
The rapid increase in prices for butter after the collapse in April stopped, there was even a tendency to decrease. This is bad for Ukraine for two reasons: because this product will continue to be imported and because it will not seem possible to establish export of Ukrainian butter to non-CIS countries this year. From this we can conclude that in the domestic market the price of butter will not rise, it may even fall. Butter 82% can be sold at prices 3800-4100 USD per ton for the export market.
The season has begun, all who could, have already launched casein drying. Casein can be sold at prices 6300-6600 USD per ton.
Our production in May, ton:
Our forecast for June
Quarantine is expected to ease in June. The situation in Ukraine and the world is changing very dynamically and, unfortunately, forecasts of consumer market trends are not optimistic. The raw milk market is not expected to change significantly, the price will remain stable. Main volumes of casein and butter will be produced in June. Imports of dairy products will not decrease.
This information booklet is intended only for customers and partners of Radyvylivmoloko LLC. Not for public or commercial use. All the information, mentioned here should be considered only as and opinion of Radyvylivmoloko staff.
Exchange rate change, 0,3 %
Fluctuation rate, 1,5 %